Development of effective pre-release method for dams during super typhoons using long-term ensemble rainfall forecasts
نویسندگان
چکیده
Against the background of increasing frequency heavy rainfall due to climate change, an analytical approach maximize effective use reservoir from both flood control and water utilization was conducted. Simulations by applying statistical down-scaling method long-term ensemble forecast ECMWF on a dam basin where large inflow occurred during Typhoon Hagibis in 2019 were shown. The results show that it is possible forecasts gain temporal, stochastic understanding total rainfall, required storage volumes, recoverable reserves. Based this understanding, calculation for setting release rates correspond pre-release start times changes order minimize service risks proposed.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: E3S web of conferences
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2555-0403', '2267-1242']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202234601016